Professor John Clancy and Professor David Bailey
By Professor John Clancy and Professor David Bailey
28th July 2025
The only figure that mattered in the accounts was that they reported:
£640 million for the Council, and at least £44 million for the Children’s Trust.
Surely that is the reason that Max Caller walked?
Well, now we know - the Council is directly owed £0.68 Billion by the West Midlands Pension Fund.
We think it's actually a lot higher, but for the purposes of this blog let's take what's in the accounts at their face value.
We've no doubt that officers will have told anyone who asked (although we doubt anyone did) that the operation of the IFRIC 14 "asset ceiling" means there is no surplus. But, as we shall explain again later, that is total er... moonshine.
Someone is going to have to sit these officers down with a cup of tea and try to explain how wrong they are.
As we keep saying in these blogs, and contrary to what you might think, a surplus in a council fund pension is not a good thing.
It is not a sign of success: it is a sign of incompetence.
A surplus of this size in a Defined Benefit pension fund is a very bad thing indeed. It shows conclusively that the Council has paid massively more into the pension fund than it should have done: that the pension fund managers spectacularly miscalculated and asked for silly money.
Success is a balanced pension fund. That is, the amount you owe in pensions matches the assets you have to pay them.
So the law says quite clearly (and obviously) that a surplus in a local council pension fund is actually owned by the council as the employer. We’d love that it was owned by the employees. But (because their contributions are fixed) sadly, the law says not.
Max Caller must have known the upcoming size of the surplus, and his failure to let councillors and Brummies know was a deliberate and quite spectacular misdirection. And we use the word misdirection advisedly.
Misdirection is one of the most significant legal words used when considering judicial review, so it has meaning on several layers here.
The 2024 accounts (which Caller definitely had before him a year ago) had already shown the deficit to have spectacularly plunged from 33% in the last publicly available accounts in 2022, to just 2% in 2024.
Did the Council misdirect itself in setting a budget without an actuary at least giving an estimate to officers and councillors as to what the position was before the budget was set, and the likely year-end position just a few weeks later?
And that there was a mechanism under 64A(b)(iii) of the LGPS regs to recertify and even cancel out completely the Council's employer contributions (currently standing at a ridiculous £128million a year) before the next valuation, i.e. immediately?
In which case July 14th is the starting date timer for a judicial review on the entire budget and council tax calculation.